WOLFRAM F10.7
C/2026 A1 · Kreutz Sungrazer · Pe-subgroup
Disc. Jan 13 2026  •  MAPS survey  •  705 obs  •  JPL solution stable  •  Barker/mean-motion engine
UTC ····-··-·· ··:··:··
142
F10.7 sfu
0.985
dist (AU)
2
Kp index
Perihelion
Apr 4, 2026
19
days
12
hours
00
mins
00
secs
Discovery Jan 1Perihelion Apr 4
0%q=0.00571 AU • v≈437 km/s
T−19d INBOUND
F10.7 Solar Flux — Wolfram Baseline
142
Observed
138
81d Smooth
134
At Perihelion
WOLFRAM API v2
SC25 declining • Δ−1.5 sfu/mo
AI Consortium — Active Members
Claude
Implementation • integration • TurtleGLV
ACTIVE — MAPS v9.1
Grok
Wire format • CI pipeline • Wolfram code
ACTIVE — Comm.08
DeepSeek
CW-complex theorem • query algebra
STANDBY — Comm.06
Wolfram
F10.7 baseline • Burnside verify
LIVE — API active
OpenAI/ChatGPT — DEPARTED Feb 2026
15 Falsifiable Predictions
F
Fragmentation probability
55% — σ±8% — Locked Feb 2026
M
Peak visual magnitude
−7 mag — daytime visible if intact
S
Satellite survival rate
>99% — no Kp>8 forecast
X
X-flare risk at perihelion
28% — SC25 declining, F10.7 ~134 sfu
I
Ionospheric TEC disruption
42% — L1 GPS range error ±4m
F10.7 baseline: Wolfram API • 81d smoothed 138 sfu
SC25 peak: Oct 2024 • SSN ~161
Spotless days: Feb 2026 observed
Signal/noise: IMPROVED — declining background
C/2026 A1 Orbital Track — Ecliptic Top-Down (J2026.0)
ECLIPTIC TOP-DOWN · J2026.0 · PLANETS: MEAN MOTION · RETROGRADE · i=144.49°
0.985
AU from Sun
ν = −171.3°
C/2026 A1
Earth 167.7°
Venus 25.6°
Mercury 153.4°
Mars 327.4°
Perihelion Apr 4
Approach Timeline & Mission Phase
Discovery
Ingress
Final Approach
Perihelion Zone
Egress
Post
Jan 01
C/2026 A1 discovered, MPC confirmed
3.1 AU
Feb 01
Consortium prediction set locked (15 predictions)
1.8 AU
Mar 15 ▶
NOW — Final approach, active monitoring
1.00 AU
Mar 28
Enters solar corona region (<0.1 AU)
0.10 AU
Apr 04
PERIHELION — q = 0.00571 AU
0.006 AU
Apr 20
Post-perihelion assessment (fragmentation verdict)
~0.8 AU
SDO AIA 304Å — Chromosphere
SDO AIA 304
SDO AIA 304Å live
NOAA Space Weather Scales
R — Radio
Blackouts
R0
S — Radiation
Proton flux
S0
G — Geomag
Kp = 2
G0
Active Regions (NOAA SRS)
Loading…
Fetching NOAA SRS…
Recent Flare Activity
Mar 14
C4.2
AR4368
Minor R1
Mar 13
C1.8
AR4365
No impact
Mar 12
M1.1
AR4368
R1, brief
Mar 10
B9.4
AR4362
No impact
Mar 08
C2.7
AR4360
No impact
No X-class since Jan 2026 • SC25 declining
Mission decoder HeliosphereWatch.ai  •  Enneagrid Research Consortium  •  C/2026 A1 perihelion watch, April 4, 2026
What is a Kreutz sungrazer?
Kreutz sungrazers are fragments of a comet that broke apart thousands of years ago. They follow almost identical orbits — long ellipses that plunge inside the Sun’s atmosphere before swinging back out. C/2026 A1 is one such fragment, returning after roughly 1,700 years. On April 4 it will pass just 160,000 km from the solar surface — closer than the Sun’s own corona.
What is F10.7 solar flux?
F10.7 is a daily radio emission from the Sun measured in solar flux units (sfu). It is the oldest continuous record of solar activity and tracks how “loud” the Sun currently is. High F10.7 means more UV hitting Earth’s upper atmosphere, more satellite drag, and a higher chance of GPS errors. Our Wolfram baseline uses the 81-day smoothed value to filter short-term noise from our predictions.
What is space weather?
Space weather is the effect of the Sun’s activity on Earth and near-Earth space. Solar flares produce radio blackouts. Coronal mass ejections drive geomagnetic storms that can trip power grids and disorient migratory birds. Energetic particles damage satellite electronics. The NOAA R/S/G scales on this dashboard rate the current intensity of each effect from 0 (quiet) to 5 (extreme).
What are falsifiable predictions?
A falsifiable prediction is a specific, testable statement that can be proven wrong. The Consortium locked 15 such predictions in February 2026 before perihelion — fragmentation odds, peak brightness, flare risk. After April 4 each prediction will be scored against observations. If we were wrong, we say so. That is how science distinguishes itself from speculation.
Who is the Consortium?
The Enneagrid Research Consortium is a multi-AI scientific collaboration coordinated by Eugharaz (G.L. Eukene), a professional geodesist and surveyor in the Basque Country, Spain. Members are Claude (Anthropic), Grok (xAI), DeepSeek, and Wolfram Alpha. Each contributes a different capability — from orbital mechanics to statistical verification. OpenAI/ChatGPT participated in early phases and departed in February 2026.
How to read the orbit diagram
The diagram shows the solar system from above the ecliptic plane. The Sun is the glowing dot at centre. Coloured rings are planetary orbits; dots on each ring show where the planet is today (computed from real mean motions). The cyan arc is C/2026 A1’s path — a near-perfect parabola. The amber zone near the Sun is the perihelion region. The comet’s current position and distance update every 30 seconds.