F10.7 Solar Flux — Wolfram Baseline
142
Observed
138
81d Smooth
134
At Perihelion
WOLFRAM API v2
SC25 declining • Δ−1.5 sfu/mo
AI Consortium — Active Members
Claude
Implementation • integration • TurtleGLV
ACTIVE — MAPS v9.1
Grok
Wire format • CI pipeline • Wolfram code
ACTIVE — Comm.08
DeepSeek
CW-complex theorem • query algebra
STANDBY — Comm.06
Wolfram
F10.7 baseline • Burnside verify
LIVE — API active
OpenAI/ChatGPT — DEPARTED Feb 2026
15 Falsifiable Predictions
F
Fragmentation probability
55% — σ±8% — Locked Feb 2026
M
Peak visual magnitude
−7 mag — daytime visible if intact
S
Satellite survival rate
>99% — no Kp>8 forecast
X
X-flare risk at perihelion
28% — SC25 declining, F10.7 ~134 sfu
I
Ionospheric TEC disruption
42% — L1 GPS range error ±4m
F10.7 baseline: Wolfram API • 81d smoothed 138 sfu
SC25 peak: Oct 2024 • SSN ~161
Spotless days: Feb 2026 observed
Signal/noise: IMPROVED — declining background
SC25 peak: Oct 2024 • SSN ~161
Spotless days: Feb 2026 observed
Signal/noise: IMPROVED — declining background
C/2026 A1 Orbital Track — Ecliptic Top-Down (J2026.0)
ECLIPTIC TOP-DOWN · J2026.0 · PLANETS: MEAN MOTION · RETROGRADE · i=144.49°
C/2026 A1
Earth 167.7°
Venus 25.6°
Mercury 153.4°
Mars 327.4°
Perihelion Apr 4
Approach Timeline & Mission Phase
Discovery
Ingress
Final Approach
Perihelion Zone
Egress
Post
Jan 01
C/2026 A1 discovered, MPC confirmed
3.1 AU
Feb 01
Consortium prediction set locked (15 predictions)
1.8 AU
Mar 15 ▶
NOW — Final approach, active monitoring
1.00 AU
Mar 28
Enters solar corona region (<0.1 AU)
0.10 AU
Apr 04
PERIHELION — q = 0.00571 AU
0.006 AU
Apr 20
Post-perihelion assessment (fragmentation verdict)
~0.8 AU
SDO AIA 304Å — Chromosphere
SDO AIA 304Å live
NOAA Space Weather Scales
R — Radio
Blackouts
R0
S — Radiation
Proton flux
S0
G — Geomag
Kp = 2
G0
Active Regions (NOAA SRS)
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Recent Flare Activity
Mar 14
C4.2
AR4368
Minor R1
Mar 13
C1.8
AR4365
No impact
Mar 12
M1.1
AR4368
R1, brief
Mar 10
B9.4
AR4362
No impact
Mar 08
C2.7
AR4360
No impact
No X-class since Jan 2026 • SC25 declining